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Friday, September 02, 2005

Indo-US nuclear deal - US Congress circus about to begin 

Once the US Congress starts its session after a vacation, the circus on the Indo-US nuclear deal will begin in right earnest.

All the so-called problems that the US may face in getting this deal through Congress and NSG member countries is for the US to manage. India has nothing to do with this. This deal is strictly based on a reciprocal basis. If the US does not deliver, there is zero obligation on India to deliver.

If this deal does not go through, what does India lose? The only thing I can think of is access to cheap LEU for the two BWRs at Tarapur (we can easily shut them down if fuel is not available - they don't generate all that much power) and access to cheap natural uranium for the PWHRs (we prospect, mine, mill and produce what we need but we don't have a lot of it and access to cheaper fuel would be good).

So the bottom line is that the US needs to deliver, how they do it is none of India's business. The message to the US should be "Pass all the laws you need, amend any that are needed, "manage NSG countries", do whatever it takes, else the deal if off and India does nothing".

There is zero question of India signing the NPT or the CTBT. Negotiations on FMCT will be DOA.
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